Good Morning Mission, and welcome to Virus Village, your daily Covid-19 data dump.
Covid Tracker will continue with full graphs and minimum commentary unless circumstances warrant otherwise.
As new cases, hospitalizations and positivity rates continue to decline, the R Number is rising again.
One of the downsides of masking is getting rid of the masks once they’ve been used. Recent studies estimated an astounding 129 billion face masks being used globally every month (3 million / minute) and most are disposable face masks made from plastic microfibers.
A leading charlatan from the Hoover Institute’s misinformation mafia has been unmasked.
Obesity has been a big contributor to serious Covid illness and death. In many cases, especialy shool closures, responses to the virus may have made the problem worse.
The Mission reacts to the state’s new Rent deal and the one year anniversary of George Floyd’s death.
Scroll down for today’s Covid numbers.
The CDC data used for the chart lags behind the data supplied from SFDPH. As of May 25, DPH reports 78 percent (608,011) of San Francisco residents over 16 had received one dose, and over 66 percent (510,114) are completely vaccinated. On May 25, the seven-day rolling average of shots per day was 4,477. For information on where to get vaccinated in and around the Mission, visit our Vaccination Page.
Covid-19 R Estimation raised its estimate for the San Francisco R number to .95 today, in a range from .58-1.30. Its California estimate is .84. Half the ensemble‘s estimates are above .9, with an average estimate of .79 The average California estimate is .77.
Between April 22 and May 21, DPH reports 53 new cases among Mission residents or a rate of 8.89 new cases per 10,000 residents. Bayview Hunters Point continues to be the City’s primary hot spot with 79 new cases and a rate of 21.13 new cases per 10,000 residents. Twenty neighborhoods had rates of less than 6 new cases per 10,000 residents.
For the week ending May 18, the seven-day rolling average of daily new cases in the City wasĀ 15Ā new cases, orĀ 1.8 new cases per day per 100,000 residents, the long sought DPH target.
Based on the group’s population, as of May 20, Pacific Islanders have had a May case rate of 37.12 (10 cases), Blacks 15.36 (67 cases), Native Americans 14.67 (2 cases), Latinx 7.46 (99 cases), Multi-racials 2.43 (9 cases), White 2.35 (83 cases) and Asians 2.31 (68 cases).
For the week ending May 22, the rate of weekly change in Covid positive patients rose Ā 6Ā percent, . During that week,Ā the seven-day average availability of ICU beds wasĀ 34 percentĀ and Acute Care availability wasĀ 26 percent. On May 22, DPH reports Covid patients comprisedĀ 2.45 percentĀ of ICU occupancy andĀ .6 percentĀ of Acute Care occupancy and the City hadĀ 100 percentĀ ICU andĀ 100 percentĀ Acute Care surge capacity.
The latest report from the federal Department of Health and Human Services shows last week SFGH had an average of 4 Covid patients and 81 percent ICU occupancy, while across the Mission, CPMC had an average of 1 Covid patient and 51 percent ICU occupancy.
You can believe your eyes, but question DPH. The weekly average positivity rate is low but hard to believe it’s that low.
Those San Franciscans over 70 account for 4.3 percent of May’s new cases, but 78 percent of the Covid related deaths. There is no demographic information on the 2 Covid-related deaths so far in May. Over 78 percent of those 65 and older have been fully vaccinated.
DPH recorded the City’s second Covid-related death in May on May 8.
I still can’t get single dose vaccine, not even at places where they say it’s the only option they have. I try to make an appointment and then they offer the two dose instead.
RE: For the week ending May 18, the seven-day rolling average of daily new cases in the City was 15 new cases, or 1.8 new cases per day per 100,000 residents, the long sought DPH target.
Have long wondered when we would ever get down to this level and what it would take to do so. Now that we are here, the answer is clearly vaccinations. It is with cautious optimism that I feel a more normal life resuming instead of coping with an under siege mentality. We have plenty of problems to deal with, but worried about getting Covid has moved down the list. Here is hoping with continuing increase in vaccination rates that the new case rate will go down even further. Covid will not go away completely for some time (years?) but it will truly be like the flu when it comes to illnesses to be concerned about.