Sunday afternoon jazz on 21st Street

Good Morning, Mission! Welcome to Virus Village, your daily Covid-19 data dump.

The SFPD has once again interpreted “de-escalation” to mean “shoot first and ask questions later.” Chief Scott promised “to analyze ever aspect of this investigation” of the shooting of Antonio Estrada. Don’t forget to tune in two years from now for the results.

Now you can keep track of the virus in cities and states of interest to you. Build your own dashboard with the New York Times.

Scroll down for today’s Covid numbers.

Remember last week when a month of cases in the Mission reached over 200? Hang onto your hat. Between October 23 and November 21, the Mission reported 303 new positive cases for a cumulative total of 2024, or 33.9 cases per 1000 residents. It’s worth repeating, as we have for the past 6 months, these numbers are the worst in the City.

The model we use today estimates the San Francisco R number at about 1.30. Still too high, but it’s been falling a bit over the past week, which may be a good sign. Not so with California where the estimate has been rising and is now 1.50.

The seven-day average number of cases Citywide is 114, over 13.1 cases per 100,000 residents. This is enough to push the City into the State’s most restrictive tier, prompting further closings. The last time the number was this high was July 24.

We use the DPH “most reliable” figure which is about a week late and may explain why the positivity rate remains relatively low.

Confirmed and suspected Covid hospitalizations now reflect the current case surge. The rate of change for Covid positive patients for the week ending November 23 was 45 percent. During that week the seven-day average availability of Acute Care beds was 24 percent, while 30 percent of ICU beds were available. The DPH goal is to maintain 15 percent of Acute Care and 20 percent of ICU beds available.

As previously observed, the current surge has been targetting the City’s White and Latinx populations in both case numbers and death totals.

This graph should be showing the Latinx population with 47 percent of the cases and 24 percent of the deaths, while the White population now has 18.4 percent of the cases and 23 percent of the deaths.

Mark Rabine

Mark Rabine has lived in the Mission for over 40 years. "What a long strange trip it's been."

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