The line graph illustrates the percentage of ballots returned before and after the elections for 2016, 2020, and 2024, emphasizing a notably faster return rate in ballots in 2020 compared to other years.

A staggering $61 million has been poured into this election, covering the mayor’s race, the six open district supervisor seats, 15 ballot measures, and more local offices. 

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But has it helped voters make a quicker decision? 

With the election only four days away, about 28 percent of voters across the city have cast their votes, according to the Department of Elections. 

It is a percentage slightly higher than what it was in 2016, when about 25 percent of voters had made a decision four days before Election Day. 

But it’s much lower than it was in 2020, the year of the pandemic. As many as 48 percent of voters registered at the time had cast their ballot four days before the election. 

During the past two presidential races, the majority of ballots have come in by Election Day — about 77 percent in 2016, and 80 percent in 2020.

The 2020 election had an overall turnout of 82 percent, slightly higher than the 81 percent in 2016. 

Among the six odd-numbered districts where there are contested supervisorial races, voters are casting their ballots the fastest in District 7, where the incumbent, Myrna Melgar, is running against three challengers. 

The turnouts are the lowest in District 9 and District 11, where there are two more crowded supervisor races; each has seven candidates, and no incumbent seeking re-election. 

While only 28 percent of ballots have been returned citywide, there is widespread anticipation that a lot more will come in this weekend.

"The election happens this weekend," said Jim Stearns, campaign consultant for mayoral candidate Aaron Peskin.

We will be updating the chart of ballots returned daily through Nov. 5. You can check back on this chart and our election updates on our main page and dashboard

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Xueer works on data and covers the Excelsior. She graduated from UC Berkeley Graduate School of Journalism with a Master's Degree. She is bilingual journalist fluent in Mandarin. In her downtime, she enjoys cooking, scuba diving and photography.

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3 Comments

  1. This is a handy analysis but please for the love of dataviz fix and label that X-axis! “Days from election day”, put negatives to the left, and mark a clear Day 0 (maybe with a vertical dashed line).

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  2. xueer,

    This is a long ballot and I’m still studying it and I have time cause I’m retired but there’s the Social Side of voting and I usually vote at the Catholic (St. Francis ?) Senior Center up the hill from me on Guerrero but I have been second to vote one cycle at City Hall out of tens of thousands but I’ve mailed my last two.

    I’m looking forward to delivering an anonymous cheesecake from Safeway to the DOE and waving my Peskin sign that now has over 400 miles on it right to the very end which as I type this is 3 days and 8 and one half hours away (from Manny’s Countdown) …

    Good energy,

    h.

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  3. It’s a combination of extreme astroturfing and a long ballot. There is so much spending by billionaires, that much more research, reading, thought and evaluation are needed. That the billionaires range from conservatives trying to keep a low-ish profile to those who claim to be real Democrats like me” (and seem to protest too much), make the added work necessary.

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