Good Morning, Mission! Welcome to Virus Village, your daily Covid-19 data dump.

For the week ending November 28, the rate of weekly change in Covid positive patients rose 55 percent. This has been an disturbing trend over the past week and is not sustainable. To reverse the trend, stay at home as much as possible.

The long overdue focus on testing  in vulnerable communities got off to a decent start yesterday with over 1500 tests taken.

Can rational individual choices be disastrous collectively? You bet.

Scroll down for today’s Covid numbers.

In the past month we’ve seen cases on a steep rise in most every neighborhood. Between October 28 and November 26, the Mission recorded 337 new cases for a cumulative total is 2087, or 40 cases per 1000 residents. Expect those figures to rise in the wake of increased testing.

Covid-19 R estimation for California  estimates San Francisco’s R number at 1.33 and Calfiornia at 1.35. An ensemble of models estimates SF at 1.21 and California at 1.15.

For the week ending November 23, the seven-day average number of Citywide daily cases crept upward to 139 or 16 cases per 100,000 residents. Note: This is the largest number of new cases we’ve seen.

The absolute number of confirmed and suspected Covid patients in SF hospitals has more than doubled in less than a month.  For the week ending November 28, DPH reports the seven-day average availability of ICU beds was 32 percent and for Acute Care beds 32 percent. DPH reports 100 percent of required PPE is on hand.

California hospitals now have a record number of Covid patients.

Although the Citywide average daily positivity rate remains relatively low, it has risen over 150 percent in the past six weeks.

The current Case Fatality Rate in San Francisco is approximately 1 percent. For residents over the age of 70, the CFR is approximately 12.7 percent.

There are no new updates on contact tracing. Check out the Phoenix Data Project dashboard (“Transmission Category”) which suggests a huge spike in the new cases which have not been reached.

Mark Rabine

Mark Rabine has lived in the Mission for over 40 years. "What a long strange trip it's been."

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1 Comment

  1. They say that its a large amount of people that tested positive , but no new cases of deaths.
    So these new cases did these people have symptoms before testing?After?
    The deaths are they from the virus are other health issues?
    I feel its way out of control i know someone who died but they had issues that were factors in their death, noone dies from COVID there are other health issues that causes their death? Sure we all need to be thoughtful of others and were face mask but we need to get our lives back on track before we get lazy and/are unable to pay bills and are homeless causing a strain that is more then we as a nation can handle.

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